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The USDA Southeast Climate Hub has released the 2021 southern pine beetle outbreak risk forecast

The 2021 SPB outbreak forecast follows the recent trend of decreasing beetle populations. Only southcentral Alabama is predicted to have a significant beetle infestation

 

2021 southern pine beetle spring outbreak forecast

The USDA Southeast Climate Hub has released the 2021 southern pine beetle outbreak risk forecast using the Southern Pine Beetle Outbreak Model (SPBOM1).

 

SPBOM 2019 and 2020 forecasts

SPBOM1 uses southern pine beetle spot data, USDA Forest Inventory and Assessment (FIA) vegetation data, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) multi-month weather forecasts to develop the annual outbreak projections.  The 2021 SPB outbreak forecast follows the recent trend of decreasing beetle populations. In 2021, only Crenshaw County, AL is predicted to have significant potential for an outbreak across the region. For more information about SPBOM please visit Forecasting Short- and Long-term Southern Pine Beetle Risk in the Southeastern US.